Bayesian Rational Search Engine User

A user faces a list returned by a search system, ordered by a noisy proxy for relevance, and decides sequentially whether to pay a fixed cost to inspect another item or stop with the best she has uncovered. She does not enter the page knowing how good its items are, so each inspection both produces a candidate item and refines her belief about the page's underlying quality. We show the optimal policy is a standout rule: the user stops as soon as her best find exceeds her posterior mean of an average item on the page by a depth-dependent threshold. The induced dynamics collapse to a one-dimensional Markov chain, which yields the full distribution of inspection depth through a closed-form recursion. The model uncovers three hidden mechanisms (trust, commit, and cut-losses) on why users stop and yields a rich set of testable implications. Moreover, the Bayesian-rational view delivers a novel learning-to-rank likelihood: an observed depth censors the latent relevance path into a polyhedron of survival inequalities, whose Gaussian probability is a differentiable function of any feature-based relevance prediction.

DiPO: Disentangled Perplexity Policy Optimization for Fine-grained Exploration-Exploitation Trade-Off

Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) has catalyzed significant advances in the reasoning capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs). However, effectively managing the exploration and exploitation trade-off remains a critical challenge. In this paper, we fully analyze the exploration and exploitation dilemma of extremely hard and easy samples during the training and propose a new fine-grained trade-off mechanism. Concretely, we introduce a perplexity space disentangling strategy that divides the sample space into distinct exploration (high perplexity) and exploitation (low perplexity) subspaces, thereby mining fine-grained samples requiring exploration-exploitation trade-off. Subsequently, we propose a bidirectional reward allocation mechanism with a minimum impact on verification rewards to implement perplexity-guided exploration and exploitation, enabling more stable policy optimization. Finally, we have evaluated our method on two mainstream tasks: mathematical reasoning and function calling, and experimental results demonstrate the superiority of the proposed method, confirming its effectiveness in enhancing LLM performance by fine-grained exploration-exploitation trade-off.

TSPO: Breaking the Double Homogenization Dilemma in Multi-turn Search Policy Optimization

Multi-turn tool-integrated reasoning enables Large Language Models (LLMs) to solve complex tasks through iterative information retrieval. However, current reinforcement learning (RL) frameworks for search-augmented reasoning predominantly rely on sparse outcome-level rewards, leading to a "Double Homogenization Dilemma." This manifests as (1) Process homogenization, where the thinking, reasoning, and tooling involved in generation are ignored. (2) Intra-group homogenization, coarse-grained outcome rewards often lead to inefficiencies in intra-group advantage estimation with methods like Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) during sampling. To address this, we propose Turn-level Stage-aware Policy Optimization (TSPO). TSPO introduces the First-Occurrence Latent Reward (FOLR) mechanism, allocating partial rewards to the step where the ground-truth answer first appears, thereby preserving process-level signals and increasing reward variance within groups without requiring external reward models or any annotations. Extensive experiments demonstrate that TSPO significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, achieving average performance gains of 24% and 13.6% on Qwen2.5-3B and 7B models, respectively.

Talk2Image: A Multi-Agent System for Multi-Turn Image Generation and Editing

Text-to-image generation tasks have driven remarkable advances in diverse media applications, yet most focus on single-turn scenarios and struggle with iterative, multi-turn creative tasks. Recent dialogue-based systems attempt to bridge this gap, but their single-agent, sequential paradigm often causes intention drift and incoherent edits. To address these limitations, we present Talk2Image, a novel multi-agent system for interactive image generation and editing in multi-turn dialogue scenarios. Our approach integrates three key components: intention parsing from dialogue history, task decomposition and collaborative execution across specialized agents, and feedback-driven refinement based on a multi-view evaluation mechanism. Talk2Image enables step-by-step alignment with user intention and consistent image editing. Experiments demonstrate that Talk2Image outperforms existing baselines in controllability, coherence, and user satisfaction across iterative image generation and editing tasks.

QuiZSF: An efficient data-model interaction framework for zero-shot time-series forecasting

Time series forecasting has become increasingly important to empower diverse applications with streaming data. Zero-shot time-series forecasting (ZSF), particularly valuable in data-scarce scenarios, such as domain transfer or forecasting under extreme conditions, is difficult for traditional models to deal with. While time series pre-trained models (TSPMs) have demonstrated strong performance in ZSF, they often lack mechanisms to dynamically incorporate external knowledge. Fortunately, emerging retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) offers a promising path for injecting such knowledge on demand, yet they are rarely integrated with TSPMs. To leverage the strengths of both worlds, we introduce RAG into TSPMs to enhance zero-shot time series forecasting. In this paper, we propose QuiZSF (Quick Zero-Shot Time Series Forecaster), a lightweight and modular framework that couples efficient retrieval with representation learning and model adaptation for ZSF. Specifically, we construct a hierarchical tree-structured ChronoRAG Base (CRB) for scalable time-series storage and domain-aware retrieval, introduce a Multi-grained Series Interaction Learner (MSIL) to extract fine- and coarse-grained relational features, and develop a dual-branch Model Cooperation Coherer (MCC) that aligns retrieved knowledge with two kinds of TSPMs: Non-LLM based and LLM based. Compared with contemporary baselines, QuiZSF, with Non-LLM based and LLM based TSPMs as base model, respectively, ranks Top1 in 75% and 87.5% of prediction settings, while maintaining high efficiency in memory and inference time.

Retention Induced Biases in a Recommendation System with Heterogeneous Users

I examine a conceptual model of a recommendation system (RS) with user inflow and churn dynamics. When inflow and churn balance out, the user distribution reaches a steady state. Changing the recommendation algorithm alters the steady state and creates a transition period. During this period, the RS behaves differently from its new steady state. In particular, A/B experiment metrics obtained in transition periods are biased indicators of the RS's long term performance. Scholars and practitioners, however, often conduct A/B tests shortly after introducing new algorithms to validate their effectiveness. This A/B experiment paradigm, widely regarded as the gold standard for assessing RS improvements, may consequently yield false conclusions. I also briefly discuss the data bias caused by the user retention dynamics.